What does 2008 look like on January 1, 2015?

Ask yourself that question. The year 2008 will look like this: it was the year that a global economic tsunami caused massive change — but it was also the year that saw the start of some pretty significant transformations.

As we go forward from 2008, it’s important to appreciate that we’re about to see a lot of big turns in the years to come in a wide variety of industries. Really, really big turns.

The word I like to use is “transformation.”

I’m a big believer that we live in truly transformative times, and that the next decade is going to witness some pretty staggering changes. Much of this transformation will come about because of the scope of potential problems that loom.

Staggering challenges eventually lead to equally staggering solutions. Think of a few:

• Health care is an obvious huge problem, and the World Healthcare Innovation & Technology forum that I keynoted last week featured hundreds of innovative ideas. In 12 years, the health care system will look nothing what it looks like today. If you want a sense of what that is, read the healthcare trends post I did a few weeks ago.

• The manufacturing sector is in a transformative period. We’ll see significant change because many of the assumptions of slow-paced manufacturing are dead; We’ll see fundamental business model change — think GoogleCar, a concept I’ve been speaking and writing about for some time.
• Energy and the environment. The linkage of these two issues is a great big step, and this will speed up the pace of scientific discovery, spawn new industry, and nurture growth.
• Pervasive connectivity. Device and location intelligence are at the tipping point. Think smart highway infrastructure, and other fascinating mass-connectivity infrastructure.

I could go on. The point is, take any of these issues or dozens of others, and we’ll look back in ten years and think to ourselves, “wow, there was suddenly a whole lot of innovative thinking going on.”

That’s why innovation will be a core focus for organizations as they go forward into 2009. Innovation leads to growth. Growth is the only way out of this mess.

I was just quoted in an article for Farm & Dairy magazine: Keep your farm above water in 2009: Think change, noting:

“Growers who focus on innovation as a core value will find success,” says futurist Jim Carroll. “Their innovation will focus on the triple-feature need for growth, efficiency and ingestion of new science.”

Think growth!